Skip navigation

Monthly Archives: January 2008

Each candidate’s answer is paraphrased below, followed by my grade.

Mitt Romney: Ten thousand times yes!  How could he not?  I am the new incarnation of Ronald Reagan.  On every issue I am his twin brother from another mother.  How many times can I say the name Ronald Reagan in answering this one question?  Even where there are issues that he never had to deal with, were he alive today, Ronald Reagan would agree with me.  And even on amnesty, which he supported, he would agree with with my opposition to that practice today.  No one can resist my hypnotic charm, even including Ronald Reagan.

Grade: C+ Only his audacity redeems this wretched glory grab by Romney.  If you’re going to claim the endorsement of a dead man, maybe it’s a good thing to do so with enthusiasm.

John McCain: Ronald Reagan would have hated Mitt Romney.  President Reagan was a man of principle, unlike Governor Romney.  Always stuck with his principles, as I do.  In fact President Reagan does endorse me, because I have always been a faithful and dependable footsoldier in his revolutionary army.

Grade: C  McCain attempts to kneecap his rival and gets mixed results.  His answer was in turns petty and introspective, and he ended up making Romney look one inch shorter, while he made himself look two inches shorter.

Ron Paul: As a matter of fact he did endorse me; he campaigned for me in 1978.  I don’t know who he would endorse.  Gold standard.  Financial genius.  Inflation.  Dollar weak on the international market.  Doom!

Grade: B  Paul made a couple of salient points and managed to highlight his own long career in the House of Representatives, then slipped back into normal Ron Paul mode and droned for another minute or two without saying anything.

Mike Huckabee: I wish!  But who really knows?  Anyway, let me endorse Ronald Reagan.  Reagan was a great president because he inspired Americans.  I hope I’m worthy of his respect and endorsement.  Hey, Nancy – I see you there in the front row.  *wink*

Grade: B+  Huckabee’s answer was humble and respectful, but he seemed to recognize that he had knocked it out of the park and got a little cute at the end.

Advertisements

CNN’s Bill Schneider says that Mike Huckabee won tonight’s Republican debate at the Reagan Library.  Read about it at: http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/category/bill-schneider/

Mike Huckabee

Over at CNN.com right now you can find an article titled “Florida narrows GOP race down to McCain-Romney battle.”

At other news outlets, in the last couple of days, articles and commentaries with similar titles have been seen, including at www.realclearpolitics.com and www.rasmussenreports.com.  There are a few variations on the headline, but the essence is the same.

This is an unfortunate oversimplification.  If you’re a Mike Huckabee supporter, you could be forgiven for thinking he’s dropped out of the race.  The truth is, however, Huckabee is poised to have his best results of the race next Tuesday, Feb 5.  That’s the day that’s also known as Super Tuesday.

On Super Tuesday 24 states are scheduled to vote, and at this writing Huckabee is polling in first place or tied for first place in at least five of them.  (see the end of this article for a list of those states)  And I’m here to tell you that anyone who wins five states on Super Tuesday is a contender.

Unfortunately, I’m hearing from people that they’ve heard that Huckabee can’t win now, and that makes them reluctant to throw their support behind him.

Why do CNN, Real Clear Politics, Rasmussen Reports, MSN, and any number of other news outlets do this?  I think it’s because they’re burned out.  They don’t want to cover multi-candidate races anymore; it’s cheaper to cover and easier to analyze a two-candidate race.  So they’re trying to fit a square news peg into a round coverage hole, and in doing so they may be influencing the race.

This behavior is indefensible.  We should never permit any news organization to influence a political race in any way.  This isn’t like Ron Paul complaining about a lack of coverage, either.  Paul has never topped 10% support in any national poll.  Mike Huckabee has excellent credentials, has won one state, sits third in the delegate count, and is on track to win multiple states next week.  To snub such a candidate in this way is unacceptable and irresponsible.

Huckabee leads in the following states:

  • Alabama
  • Arkansas
  • Missouri
  • Oklahoma
  • Tennessee

At this time (late January 2008) the Republican field has been narrowed to five more or less serious and viable candidates for president.  Speculation is going to rev up soon regarding who should be considered for the position of vice president.  Here’s my list of those who won’t (first) and those who might (second) be chosen for the party’s Veep nomiation.

Keep in mind that a candidate’s appearance on this list says nothing about his viability in the ongoing race.

First, those who absolutely won’t be selected:

  1. John McCain – At age 72 he’s too old, he’s too proud, and he has more power and prestige as a senator than he’d ever have as the Vice President.
  2. Rudy Giuliani – Too liberal, too combative, too proud. Giuliani wouldn’t enhance the ticket as a #2 for anybody.
  3. Mitt Romney – I’m pretty sure the other Republicans all hate his guts, except for maybe Fred Thompson, who is out the door and and won’t be needing him.
  4. Ron Paul – too flakey and too high negatives, plus a past that includes some really weird newsletters published under his byline.

—————————————————————-

Secondly, here’s a list of good Veep candidates. This list isn’t meant to be comprehensive; these are just my favorites.

  1. Mike Huckabee – If he’s unsuccessful in his run for Prexy, Huckabee (who is only 52 years old and will most certainly run again) would benefit from 4-8 years as Veep. Throw in the fact that he’s an excellent debater and a genuine Southern conservative, and he makes an attractive #2 for any Yankee.
  2. Tommy Thompson – has national ambitions, was a successful and popular Republican governor in Wisconsin, and is a policy expert in a variety of areas.
  3. Tim Pawlenty – a young, handsome, popular, born-again, conservative Republican governor in the most liberal of midwestern states (Minnesota), Pawlenty is a gifted campaigner and has been noticed nationally for his success in balancing the Minnesota budget when it was badly in the red, as well as for being national co-chair of McCain’s campaign.
  4. Ed Schafer – currently being confirmed as the new Ag Sec, former North Dakota governor Schafer is an articulate and affable politician with a squeaky clean image and a gift for compromise.
  5. Lindsay Graham – This senator from South Carolina is a thoughtful, rational, soft-spoken conservative with excellent credentials. Graham is respected throughout the party, and is on good terms with both fiscal and social conservatives.

Friday’s “Huckazoom” fundraising event was a moderate success, raising an impressive $200,000+ in a single day, but falling far short of the hoped-for $400,000 in contributions.

There’s little doubt that Huckabee and campaign manager Ed Rollins will find a way to squeeze value out of these dollars until they cry for mercy.

There was a moment of passion and authority in last night’s debate when Mike Huckabee was answering a question about the Fair Tax and Tim Russert interrupted to criticize.  Huckabee smacked Russert back down into his chair and made his point.

All in all it was a solid performance by the Huckman, about what we’ve come to expect.  He made himself known with his wit, his humor, and his detailed responses – especially to McCain’s softball question on the Fair Tax.

The next week and a half is crunch time.  After hopefully taking 3rd place and 20% of the vote in Florida, the best guess here is that Huckabee’s team is hoping to lock up no fewer than five states on Super Tuesday, especially including Alabama, Arkansas, Delaware, Georgia, Missouri, Oklahoma, and Tennessee.  Even better would be if Huckabee could pick up a northern state or two, and the most likely candidates seem to be Minnesota or North Dakota.

What can a conservative Republican do to help Huckabee?  Right now the campaign’s greatest need is money.  Contributions made at www.huckazoom.com will count toward today’s goal of $400,000.00, otherwise you can go to www.mikehuckabee.com to make a contribution the old fashioned way.

  • National standings, according to the NBC/WSJ poll to be released Friday 1-25
  1. McCain: 29%
  2. Huckabee: 23%
  3. Romney: 20%
  4. Giuliani: 15%
  5. Paul: 4%
  • Also, in Georgia, which is a Super Tuesday state, Huckabee has a commanding lead:
  1. Huckabee: 34%
  2. McCain: 19%
  3. Romney: 16%
  4. Paul: 12%
  5. Giuliani: 11%

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/georgia/georgia_republican_presidential_primary

Here are some things to look for in tonight’s Republican debate.  Watch and see how right or wrong I am.

  • Everyone will talk a lot about the US economy
  • Mike Huckabee will be asked at least two questions about his faith.
  • John McCain will insult Willard “Mitt” Romney in a seemingly subtle way that really isn’t very subtle, if you think about it.
  • Mitt Romney will lie about someone else’s record.
  • Ron Paul’s answer to at least one question will include the words, “I mean come on!” as well as a fit of quacking and stuttering.
  • Rudy Giuliani will cackle hysterically at one or more of Huckabee’s quips, because he can’t help himself.
  • Huckabee will shine in this debate, and he always does.  His fundraising will skyrocket for the next three days or so, his poll numbers (both in Florida and nationally) will spike 5-10 points in the next few days.

Duncan Hunter, Representative from California and former presidential candidate,  has endorsed Mike Huckabee for president, a move that may strengthen Huckabee’s standing among border hawks, southern Californians, and Hunter’s own former supporters.

Rep Duncan Hunter of California

In a statement released Wednesday, Hunter said “Of the remaining candidates I feel that [Huckabee] is strongly committed to strengthening national defense, constructing the border fence and meeting the challenge of China’s emergence as a military superpower that is taking large portions of America’s industrial base.  Along with these issues…I see another quality of Mike Huckabee’s candidacy that compels my endorsement.  Mike Huckabee is a man of outstanding character and integrity.  I saw that character over the last year of campaigning and was greatly impressed.”

It’s unclear at this time whether Hunter intends to campaign for Huckabee.

After a disappointing second-place finish in the open South Carolina primary on Saturday, one in which he garnered the most votes among Republicans and conservatives but lost to John McCain on the strength of McCain’s independent and crossover Democrat votes, Mike Huckabee’s presidential campaign is very short on funds.

That’s why his supporters have set up a new fundraising website for Huckabee at www.huckazoom.com.

Huckabee’s fundraising has seemed schizophrenic at times, including a much-hyped and very disappointing “moneybomb” on December 27 which grossed only about $84,000 and spontaneous bomblets that brough in nearly $400,000 on January 15-16  and $155,000 on January 22.  The unofficial goal this time is a realistic-sounding total of $400,000.

Whatever money is raised will go to Huckabee’s efforts to make a strong showing in Florida and to stay on top in states where Huckabee is currently in or near first place, including Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia, Minnesota, Mississippi, North Dakota, Oklahoma, and Texas.

(left to right) Actress Jennifer Beal, Mike Huckabee, and Alveda King at Ebeneezer Baptist Church on MLK Jr Day